Well, no one said it was gonna be easy. That said, there are still multiple paths to getting there. Here is the updated path to the Big 12 title game for WVU.
Currently the Mountaineers are tied for second place in the Big 12 with a record of 5-2. Both teams the Mountaineers are tied with have a win over the Mountaineers.
If the Mountaineers win out it at least gives them a shot at the Big 12 title game. Here are the two most plausible situations where WVU makes it to the title game.
The simples route involves two 7-2 teams. In this scenario West Virginia defeats Texas and Oklahoma, with TCU and Oklahoma State both losing at least one game.
TCU’s final two games are against Texas Tech and Baylor, while Oklahoma State faces Kansas State and Kansas.
For this scenario to play out Oklahoma defeats Kansas, then loses to West Virginia. TCU and Oklahoma State lose one game each. Thanks to a win over the Sooners in the regular season finale that would give WVU the tiebreaker and make the Mountaineers the regular season champs.
If somehow Oklahoma lost to Kansas, then only one of TCU or Oklahoma State would need to lose in order for the Mountaineers to get to the title game.
Another way for WVU to get to the Big 12 title is by there being three 7-2 teams. In this scenario West Virginia needs only one of Baylor or TCU to lose one of their two final games. This would give all three teams who are a tied a 1-1 record against the other two teams. So when we need to move on to the next tiebreaker. In this tiebreaker their records “will be compared against the remaining team(s) in the Conference standings from top to bottom.”
So what does WVU need to happen to get in with three 7-2 teams? It needs the 7-2 teams to be West Virginia, Oklahoma and Oklahoma State to be the three 7-2 teams, with TCU taking a loss and falling to 6-3. Additionally Iowa State needs to win their final two games against Kansas State and Baylor. This would put Iowa State at 4th ahead of TCU. Since WVU and Oklahoma State beat Iowa State, but the Sooners did not, this would put West Virginia and Oklahoma State in the Big 12 title game.
So let’s try to simplify what West Virginia needs to make the title game in addition to defeating Texas and Oklahoma.
- Oklahoma and TCU to both lose a game OR
- Iowa State to win out and TCU to lose to either Texas Tech or Baylor OR
- Iowa State to win out and Oklahoma State to lose to both Kansas State and Kansas OR
- Oklahoma to lose to Kansas and either Oklahoma State or TCU lose a game
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